Reading daily in our media of the world’s growing disarray, we can take small comfort in the continuing failure of world leaders to acknowledge the impact of the growth of human numbers as the bottom line driving influencing force on our small planet producing the ills of pollution, endless wars and growing religious inanity which can only grow worse!
Earth had 2 billion people at my birth in 1931, now almost 8 billion with a possible projection to 10 billion by 2057. However, such a number may well be curtailed before then by some cataclysms! You can pick one or more of the legendary Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse—war, famine, pestilence and death!
How ironic for me to use a biblical reference on this web site which argues to keep religious bias out of secular policy making!
And yet Trump’s February 4th State of Union Address (SOUA) to our Congress sounded like a call for God’s guidance from the pulpit of a evangelical preacher. His nostrums for future happiness ignored mention of population growth. Trump’s seemingly mindless admiration for endless growth has become his and apparently the mantra for too many world leaders. To many of us such visions of growth denotes the behavior of a cancer cell.
Indeed, this site continues to bring our readers exciting news of scientific progress. Example: the article on how gene modification can greatly improve human health. Read this prompt:
This activity, while so worthwhile for its intended recipients, represents another irony since growth of human numbers could well be greatly enhanced with gene therapy!
Naturally, we favor improving human health and longevity, but its continuing expansion on a planet with limited space and resources is not possible.
Its specific 2057 population number of 10 billion, sans the cataclysms mentioned above:
The global population is growing at a rate of around 1.08% per year (down from 1.10% in 2018, 1.12% in 2017 and 1.14% in 2016). The latest world population projections indicate that we will reach 10 billion persons in the year 2057. The current average population increase is estimated at 82 million people per year.
Weld offers us other disquieting facts and urgent requests for action:
As Joseph Chamey, former director of the UN Population Division, points out in his article, “Pro-Growth Demographic Dogma” is fundamentally a Ponzi scheme that generates more money, power and influence for some while ignoring the sustainability of long-term population growth. Believers in the dogma see any decline and even slowdown of population growth as leading to financial problems and a bleak future. Chamie’s article follows articles by Ross Douthat of The New York Times and many others which argue that China’s low birth rate and rapidly aging population constitutes a “demographic crisis” which is part of a “global fertility crisis.” Fortunately, even mainstream economists such as Dean Baker, in “The Myth of China’s Population Crisis,” are also challenging the idea that a decline in population is a crisis.
“When we save other creatures, we’re actually saving ourselves. It’s really how we treat the least among us that will determine our own fate as well.” —Joel Sartore, National Geographic photographer and speaker, and head of The National Geographic Photo Ark project, a 25-year effort to document the approximately 12,000 species living in the world’s zoos and wildlife sanctuaries.
One of our longtime op ed suggestions Madeline Weld echoes in her posting for Canada:
Free prescription contraception is a no-brainer, and should be available to all Canadians. “A cost-benefit analysis conducted by Options for Sexual Health in 2010 estimates the B.C. government could save $95 million a year if it paid for universal access to prescription contraception.”
She welcomes your help: Population Institute Canada, PO Box 59045, Ottawa, Ontario K1G 5T7, Canada.
As does this outstanding web site: churchandstate.org.uk which offers vital news not found elsewhere.
The Donald Trump SOUA rant obliquely suggested less not more reproductive freedom for US women!
We can only hope for enlightenment from a future President, but delay can only produce more chance for the Four Horsemen of war, famine, pestilence and death to loom closer.
From the Dissident Left: A Collection of Essays 2004-2013
By Donald A. Collins
Publisher: Church and State Press (July 30, 2014)
No one ever dies of overpopulation – Madeline Weld
How the world went from 170 million people to 7.3 billion, in one map
Vatican control of World Health Organization population policy: An interview with Milton P. Siegel
Al Bartlett – Democracy Cannot Survive Overpopulation
Be sure to ‘like’ us on Facebook