Thomas Friedman on Anderson Cooper’s 1/20 CNN TV program made what to me was the best case for Putin not going into Ukraine.
His main point was that when his troops start getting shipped home in body bags, his sagging popularity at home will get worse.
Will he risk that? Friedman’s view? Seemed be no.
His background column on Putin entitled “Marry Me or I will Kill You” can be read here.
My column: Putin to Ukraine: ‘Marry Me or I’ll Kill You’ https://t.co/0U6CdNf35M
— Thomas L. Friedman (@tomfriedman) January 19, 2022
This critical passage from Friedman’s perceptive piece:
If I were a cynic, I’d just tell him to go ahead and take Kyiv because it would become his Kabul, his Afghanistan — but the human costs would be intolerable. Short of that, I’d be very clear: If he wants to come down from the tree in which he’s lodged himself, he’s going to have to jump or build his own ladder. He has completely contrived this crisis, so there should be no give on our part. China is watching — and Taiwan is sweating — everything we do in reaction to Vlad right now.
The complexity of the decision makes it worthy of reading this column.
You have no idea what this Ukraine-Russia thing is and what Putin’s worldview has to do with it? This article will catch you up. Great background reading. https://t.co/3QgSRDeNYU
— Simon Kuestenmacher (@simongerman600) January 21, 2022
Meantime per page one WSJ 1/21/22 article, US transfer of more weapons to Ukraine will make invasion more costly.
Headline: “Biden Aims to Reassure Kyle, U.S. back’s weapons Transfer”
Objective? Putin takes Ukraine. Then what? Sanctions won’t remove him, but he may have, as Friedman predicts, bought into a new Afghanistan swamp as the 43 million Ukrainians will make his incursion very costly, again proving my thesis that war is obsolete in terms of gaining its objective of net gain.
Hope it doesn’t happen.
"What Can Be Done Now to Save Habitable Life on Planet Earth?": https://t.co/fHuh0CG6JD
"We Humans Overwhelm Our Earth: 11 or 2 Billion by 2100?": https://t.co/TA4j7cp1tE
"From the Dissident Left: A Collection of Essays 2004-2013": https://t.co/lkC2t3E1A9 pic.twitter.com/bQsL2mLBcO
— Church and State (@ChurchAndStateN) November 1, 2021
Putin Appears Poised To Invade Ukraine | The Mehdi Hasan Show
Ukrainian official: Biden’s answer gives Putin ‘green light’ to invade
Ari Berman: With Extreme Gerrymandering, the Republicans Are Rigging the Next Decade of Elections
Biden predicts Putin will ‘move in’ to Ukraine
On the Frontlines of Ukraine’s Proxy War Between the West and Russia