Democrats’ Mid-Term Optimism Will be Sorely Tested

By Donald A. Collins | 1 October 2022
Church and State


While the enormity of the issue of preserving our democracy from the authoritarianism of the disgraced and dangerous GOP would seem to indicate an exception to the usual narrative of the in party losing in the midterms.

Trump is in trouble, the proposed GOP program for fixing the alleged ills of the Democrats is non-existent and inflation is not Biden’s doing as both immigration and inflation are worldwide phenomena.

However, that said, Karl Rove, the long time Republican presidential advisor is confident that none othe above facts will persuade the voters to keep the US House majority in power.

His September 29th Wall Street opinion piece entitled “How Big Will the GOP House Majority Be After the Midterms?” you can read here.

Rove believes that “it is highly likely the GOP wins most of the competitive races and takes the House”. He did not predict the outcome in the Senate in this Op Ed.

The US stock market has been slumping sharply, which could cause wealthier votes to waver, but perhaps not much.

Rove’s campaign experience and his career long political sagacity certainly suggests he is correct.

The prospect of getting Trump toady Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House to help continue the dangerous attacks on state voting laws is probably not well enough understood by swing voters in middle class suburbs.

My only surmise about the outcome of the midterms is based on several factors which I list here.

First, the expectation that the weight of an expected House’s final hearing delayed by Hurricane Ian, and its formal report on its January 6th Committee’s findings if revealed before November 8th will perhaps awaken a segment of key undecided voters to keep a Democratic House.

Second, another unsubstantiated guess of mine is based on the difficult task of determining how many women will vote against the Supreme Court’s killing of their previously granted Constitutional right to abortions. It will take Congressional legislation to restore the national right to choose.

Third, the likely attacks by the religious zealots on Supreme Court on LGBTQ+ rights, access to early abortion pills, health care funding and women’s equity laws should resound with more force to women than the polls uncover.

Fourth, evidence of GOP racism against minorities has been foundational to MAGA believers whose votes form the largest majority of total GOP voters!

As Biden has said, “MAGA Republicans do not respect the Constitution. They do not believe the rule of law. They do not recognize the will of the people. They refuse to accept the results of a free election. And they’re working right now, as I speak, in state after state, to give power to decide elections in America to partisans and cronies, empowering election deniers to undermine democracy itself. … They promote authoritarian leaders, and they fan the flames of political violence that are a threat to our personal rights, to the pursuit of justice, to the rule of law, to the very soul of this country. They look at the mob that stormed the United States Capitol on Jan. 6, brutally attacking law enforcement, not as insurrectionists who placed a dagger at the throat of our democracy, but they look at it as patriots.”

Read the facts here.

Fifth, Trump’s continued “big lie” claim certainly has turned off some Republicans. Many GOP lawmakers and other government officials, according to Republican Congressman Adam Kinzinger, have failed to speak out against Trump and his cabal out of fear of violent reprisals against them or their families, based on many specific examples.

Of course people who favor violence to gain power wouldn’t be for gun control laws.

Finally, the forces of evil Trump empowered and endorsed from the Charlottesville all the way to January 6th and beyond could certainly be activated for the 2024 Presidential race which Trump is expected to enter.

Are these midterms important to preserving choice and retaining our fragile Democracy’s future? Your vote will decide.

Former US Navy officer, banker and venture capitalist, Donald A. Collins, a free lance writer living in Washington, DC, has spent over 50 years working for women’s reproductive health as a board member and/or officer of numerous family planning organizations including Planned Parenthood Federation of America, Guttmacher Institute, Family Health International and Ipas. Yale under graduate, NYU MBA. He is the author of “From the Dissident Left: A Collection of Essays 2004-2013”, “Trump Becoming Macbeth: Will our democracy survive?”, “We Humans Overwhelm Our Earth: 11 or 2 Billion by 2100?”, “What Can Be Done Now to Save Habitable Life on Planet Earth?”, “Vote” and “Can Homo Sapiens Survive?”.

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