Listening to or reading the massive media coverage of the oncoming 2024 election gives believers in both parties a nasty dose of pessimism or simply confusion about the priority of what issues to embrace with their valuable votes since the election, as measured by the flawed and now obsolete Electoral College system, will be razor close.
Republicans constantly prove they are too divided to govern. Even as many of their constituents have deep reservations with Trump, but like Haley and DeSantis will vote for him despite his already stated behavior if he is elected to a second term. The question of his likely nomination will likely be settled later this month in the 1/23/24 New Hampshire primary.
Democrats will back Biden if he doesn’t decide not to run. But Biden seems firm on running despite his historically low popularity ratings.
His age remains his only plausible primary liability as most unbiased knowledgeable political observers feel his Presidency has been effective given all the unsettling events, both foreign and domestic he has had to deal with.
Fareed Zakaria’s CNN commentary on Sunday January 7th opined about the excellent condition of the US, which facts are not recognized by too many voters of both parties despite Bidens’ stabilizing excellent first term.
Here’s part of what Zakaria argues:
The start of the new year is often a time of optimism. But look at surveys from the past few months and you will find that strikingly high numbers of Americans — sometimes around three-quarters of those polled — think the United States is on the wrong track. This profound sense of despair is perplexing because I don’t find much objective data to support it.
The U.S. economy grew an astonishing 5.2 percent in the third quarter of 2023, and the International Monetary Fund expects growth for last year to be 2.1 percent, which is substantially better than in other advanced Western economies such as Canada, Germany and Britain. Inflation is dropping sharply, real wages are up and manufacturing employment is experiencing a boom. It is hard to find another country where so many measures are pointing in the right direction.
The broader picture is even more positive. As I write in the current issue of Foreign Affairs, the United States has been besting its competitors in various crucial metrics for a while. The Financial Times did an analysis of the many ways in which the United States’ economy could be compared with Europe’s, and it found that in per capita growth, the United States has been “outperforming” Britain and the euro zone for 20 years and has “dwarfed” the economies of Spain, France and Italy.
The U.S. technology sector dominates the world in a way that no country ever has. The value of the top 10 U.S. technology stocks is now greater than the value of the entire stock markets of Canada, Britain, France and Germany combined. The United States is the world’s largest producer of oil and gas. It has the healthiest demographics of any advanced country, and it takes in around 1 million legal immigrants a year, which ensures that while Europe and Japan are expected to slowly sink in population, the United States will continue to grow.
Last summer, Nikki Haley tweeted, “Do you remember when you were growing up, do you remember how simple life was, how easy it felt?” She was aping Trump’s central message, which is that he will make America great again.
Zakaria then brilliantly recites here how those 1974 good old days were not!
As these facts confirm, the US is in remarkably strong condition, which we hear GOP leaders decrying at every opportunity.
Read his full words of reality here.
Americans are pessimistic, but it’s hard to find another country where so many measures are pointing in the right direction.
My latest column: https://t.co/56DSXDlhfC
— Fareed Zakaria (@FareedZakaria) January 5, 2024
On the 1/7/24 Meet the Press interview with host Kristen Welker, House Representative Elise Stefanik accused Biden of being guilty of wrongly doing everything and guilty of crimes no one has proven.
A manic Trump acolyte, Stefanik when asked by host Welker if she would accept a Trump offer to run as Vice President. Stefanik replied that all she wanted now was to help the GOP, but offered Welker no yes or no answer.
The questionable veracity of her every comment can be heard by listening to the interview here:
Biden made his initial major campaign speech on January 5 in Blue Bell, Pa near Vally Forge where George Washington rallied his army against the hessians used by the British. In it Biden made what will be the main theme of his campaign, saving our democracy from authoritarianism under Trump who has already articulated exactly how he would destroy our democracy if elected.
Read that full Biden speech here.
Full transcript of President Biden's excellent campaign speech today.https://t.co/GUGcWAJPtc
— ⚓️ 🇺🇸 Proud Navy Veteran (@naretevduorp) January 6, 2024
The probability of a Biden Trump rematch is almost certain.
As I noted in a recent op ed, dismissing past Trump behavior, in short, reciting those facts won’t prevent Trump’s return.
Read it again here.
Trump is the greatest Presidential liar in US history and the only one to attempt to block a duly elected President from taking office.
— Church and State (@ChurchAndStateN) January 9, 2024
Trump’s recent claim of immigrants’ blood poisoning our country is perhaps the most racist of his many racist positions.
On Saturday, (January 20, 2023) at a rally attended by thousands in Durham, New Hampshire, Trump said of undocumented migrants, “They’re poisoning the blood of our country. They’re coming into our country from Africa, from Asia, all over the world.”
Read that full outrage here.
— Michelle (@Michell33650674) December 19, 2023
However, enlarging on his route to authoritarianism, Trump’s claim he will bring to his MAGA supporters “Restitution” as he endlessly repeats his allegation of being the victim of false accusations. Thus, Trump will make sure if he is elected to take revenge on those who crossed him in his first term.
His June 2023 remarks have been repeated. Read here: “In 2016, I declared: I am your voice. Today, I add: I am your warrior. I am your justice,” he said in March. “And for those who have been wronged and betrayed, I am your retribution.”
In 2015, Trump was selling 'drain the swamp' and 'make America great again'.
Now he's selling the idea that he is a martyr:
Trump, who told supporters 'I am your retribution,' now says, 'I'm being indicted for you'https://t.co/J7ko6t9baE
— Chris Weedon (@topherjk) June 27, 2023
The US is thus in the unbelievable position of being told what the likely GOP nominee will do if elected and huge GOP support for that scenario remains as over 60% of Republicans still believe fraud was committed in Biden’s election!
The main thing to grasp comes obviously and ominously into focus: Trump could win as Robert Kagan and others have documented!
Here’s what Kagan wrote.
A Trump dictatorship is increasingly inevitable. We should stop pretending.
“In just a few years, we have gone from being relatively secure in our democracy to being a few short steps, and a matter of months, away from the possibility of dictatorship.”https://t.co/Jlq2RnunY9
— Peter Jukes (@peterjukes) December 10, 2023
Thus, any Democratic voters’ failure to vote, particularly in the 6 swing states, will give Trump his 2nd term.
As I said in my January 1st Op Ed, “With the Electoral College margins in 6 so called swing states, the 2020 election only 44,000 votes in 3 of those states if they had gone for Trump, it would have tied his Electoral votes with Biden, who got 7 million more votes nationally.”
If too many (and it won’t take many) Democrats who fail to vote or get persuaded to vote for Trump for issues other than saving democracy, Trump wins.
Don’t get sidetracked on important issues. Vote as if your democracy depends on it because it does: The most important issue is saving our democracy. You can’t save democracy under a racist authoritarian seeking retribution, keeping people from voting, taking choice from women, or willing to ignore the climate crisis as evidence proves we are well into the 6th Extinction.
Other topical and legitimate but ancillary issues include finding Biden too committed to Israel despite his efforts to get a Gaza bombing cease fire. Another is Biden’s alleged immigration failure. There certainly is a real crisis on our southern border which has been growing for years with neither party engaging in good faith attempts to pass legislation which must come from Congress not the states. There is a labor shortage in our country and to find out who we want to come needs specific laws, not free entry with now prevails. Immigration reform failure can be attributed to both parties. The MAGA GOP’s House of Representative’s holding up real legislation for funding border security AND Ukraine is a growing international political disaster.
In short, if Democrats find any other ancillary reason NOT to vote for Biden, as unpopular as he now is in the polls, Trump’s win is assured.
Your call, Democrats, as the fate of our democracy is going to be decided in November 2024!
“What Can Be Done Now to Save Habitable Life on Planet Earth?”: https://t.co/fHuh0CG6JD
“We Humans Overwhelm Our Earth: 11 or 2 Billion by 2100?”: https://t.co/TA4j7cp1tE
“From the Dissident Left: A Collection of Essays 2004-2013”: https://t.co/lkC2t3E1A9 pic.twitter.com/bQsL2mLBcO
— Church and State (@ChurchAndStateN) November 1, 2021
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